Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Bardmoor Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103025012 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,988 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12103025012 sits in the Bardmoor area of Bardmoor, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 4,988 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,295
Renter share8.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$82,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bardmoor and the region
Centroid at 27.8625, -82.7518 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bardmoor scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bardmoor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,404 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bardmoor
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bardmoor
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bardmoor
6.6
How Bardmoor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 318Total filings over 18 yrs
- 4.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2016)
- 19Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 77Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bardmoor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bardmoor
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. At $1,404 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Bardmoor commands.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 318 filings here across 18 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 56% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025012
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025012?
Census tract 12103025012 in the Bardmoor neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025012?
Median gross rent is $1,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025012?
11.3% of residents in tract 12103025012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,988.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025012?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 57th, minority 33th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025012 considered part of Bardmoor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025012 fall within Bardmoor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025012?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 318 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025012 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.44% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025012 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025012 compare to Bardmoor overall?
Tract 12103025012 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Bardmoor at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bardmoor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bardmoor
Top eight tracts in Bardmoor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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