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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,730 of 84,120 nationally

Seminole Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12103025015 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,701 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 12103025015 runs through the Seminole Village area of Seminole. With 2,701 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #50,886 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,086 a month while the average household earns $40,000 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,738
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$40,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Seminole Village
Very High
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Seminole
Moderate
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#865 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seminole and the region

Centroid at 27.8250, -82.7518 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seminole Village scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
7.0

How Seminole Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seminole Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 025015Seminole: 2.22.2Seminoleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 0.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2014)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030250152000: 1 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2001: 1 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 2 filings (0.74/100 renter HHs)2008: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 2 filings (0.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2014: 5 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 1 filings (0.37/100 renter HHs)2017: 1 filings (0.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 15Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.50×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seminole Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seminole Village

What moves this score most is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seminole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 0.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.7% of renter households in 2014.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103025015

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025015?

Census tract 12103025015 in the Seminole Village neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103025015?

Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025015?

17.0% of residents in tract 12103025015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,701.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025015?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 52th, minority 26th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 12103025015 considered part of Seminole Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025015 fall within Seminole Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025015?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12103025015 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103025015 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103025015 compare to Seminole overall?

Tract 12103025015 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Seminole at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seminole

Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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