Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103025013 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,846 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12103025013 covers part of the Seminole Village area of Bardmoor, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 63% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,647
Renter share8.0%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$108,086
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8465, -82.7553 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole Village scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,225 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
6.6
How Seminole Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 222Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2014)
- 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 700% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 82Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seminole Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole Village
Cost burden runs 80% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. At $2,225 a month, rents run 30% over what the rest of Bardmoor commands.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 222 filings here across 18 tracked years. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8.
The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2014, when 13.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025013
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025013?
Census tract 12103025013 in the Seminole Village neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025013?
Median gross rent is $2,225/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025013?
4.0% of residents in tract 12103025013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,846.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025013?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 74th, minority 34th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025013 considered part of Seminole Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025013 fall within Seminole Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025013?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025013 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.90% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025013 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025013 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025013 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Seminole at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seminole
Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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