Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole Village Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12103025015 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,701 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
12103025015 is a census tract in the Seminole Village area of West Lealman, FL. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,701. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,738
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$40,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8250, -82.7518 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole Village scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
7.0
How Seminole Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 11 yrs
- 0.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2014)
- 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 15Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seminole Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole Village
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $40,000, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.5% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. At $1,086 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of West Lealman commands.
Court records carry 22 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 1.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025015
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025015?
Census tract 12103025015 in the Seminole Village neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025015?
Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025015?
17.0% of residents in tract 12103025015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,701.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025015?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 52th, minority 26th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025015 considered part of Seminole Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025015 fall within Seminole Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025015?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12103025015 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025015 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025015 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025015 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Seminole at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seminole
Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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