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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Davenport Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012502 · Polk, FL · pop 15,515 · 47% of tract blocks fall in Davenport

12105012502 is a census tract in Davenport, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 15,515 residents. Against Polk County at 45.8%, about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 14% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units5,584
Renter share18.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$87,629

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Davenport
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#154 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Davenport and the region

Centroid at 28.1883, -81.5606 · click any tract to drill in

Why Davenport scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
8.5

How Davenport compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Davenport risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0125023.6Davenportparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 247Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 2.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2010)
  • 19Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105012502
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Davenport

Average gross rent is $954, 50% below the Davenport average. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.0% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

Court records carry 247 eviction filings across 17 observed years. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 3.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012502?

Census tract 12105012502 in Davenport scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012502?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012502?

12.8% of residents in tract 12105012502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 15,515.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 91th, minority 77th, housing 91th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 247 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.61% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012502 compare to Davenport overall?

Tract 12105012502 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Davenport at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Davenport

Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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