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Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Davenport Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012514 · Polk, FL · pop 9,788 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Davenport

With a score of 3.6/10, tract 12105012514 in Davenport, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 9,788 residents. 76% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Polk County average of 45.8%.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 3% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units3,774
Renter share11.0%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$73,929

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Davenport
Moderate
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#90 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#2,851 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#56,048 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Davenport and the region

Centroid at 28.1791, -81.6272 · click any tract to drill in

Why Davenport scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$2,140 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
8.5

How Davenport compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Davenport risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0125143.6Davenportparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Davenport

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 60.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $73,929, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,140, 12% above the Davenport average.

Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012514

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012514?

Census tract 12105012514 in Davenport scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012514?

Median gross rent is $2,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012514?

16.3% of residents in tract 12105012514 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,788.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012514?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 84th, minority 72th, housing 12th.
Q5

How does tract 12105012514 compare to Davenport overall?

Tract 12105012514 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Davenport at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Davenport

Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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