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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Medulla Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105011909 · Polk, FL · pop 4,205 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Medulla

Census tract 12105011909 covers part of Medulla, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,205. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 6% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,412
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$109,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Medulla
Moderate
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medulla and the region

Centroid at 27.9619, -82.0005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medulla scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medulla
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,567 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medulla
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medulla
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medulla
6.2

How Medulla compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medulla risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0119093.8Medullaparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 39Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 1.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2017)
  • 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105011909
Filings climbed 100% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medulla

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,567 a month, rents run 99% over what the rest of Medulla commands. The voucher gap is 92.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against Polk County at 45.8%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Polk County average of 3.9. The filing record is not thin: 39 evictions over 16 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2017 at 4.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011909

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011909?

Census tract 12105011909 in Medulla scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011909?

Median gross rent is $2,567/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011909?

1.4% of residents in tract 12105011909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,205.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011909?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 34th, minority 56th, housing 5th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011909?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12105011909 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.11% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011909 compare to Medulla overall?

Tract 12105011909 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Medulla at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medulla; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medulla

Top eight tracts in Medulla ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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