Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Waverly Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105014130 · Polk, FL · pop 3,151 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Waverly
Tract 12105014130 sits in Waverly, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,445
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$54,088
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waverly and the region
Centroid at 27.9909, -81.5993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waverly scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waverly
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,293 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waverly
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waverly
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waverly
1.0
How Waverly compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waverly
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10.
Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,293, close to the Waverly average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $54,088. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014130
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014130?
Census tract 12105014130 in Waverly scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014130?
Median gross rent is $1,293/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014130?
22.3% of residents in tract 12105014130 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,151.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014130?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 91th, minority 68th, housing 98th.
Q5
How does tract 12105014130 compare to Waverly overall?
Tract 12105014130 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Waverly at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waverly; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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