Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Sarasota Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115001402 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,523 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Lake Sarasota
With a score of $1/10, tract 12115001402 in Lake Sarasota in Sarasota County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,523 residents. That is riskier than about 12% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,882 a month while the average household earns $102,917 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,632
Renter share23.2%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$102,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
National
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Sarasota and the region
Centroid at 27.2887, -82.4392 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Sarasota scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,882 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
4.4
How Lake Sarasota compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2002)
- 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 65% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Sarasota
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Sarasota, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 68 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2002.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001402?
Census tract 12115001402 in Lake Sarasota scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001402?
Median gross rent is $1,882/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001402?
7.4% of residents in tract 12115001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,523.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 19th, minority 15th, housing 5th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.69% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115001402 compare to Lake Sarasota overall?
Tract 12115001402 scores 2/10, right in line with the parent city of Lake Sarasota at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Sarasota
Top eight tracts in Lake Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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