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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Sarasota Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115001402 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,523 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Lake Sarasota

12115001402 is a census tract in Lake Sarasota, FL. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,523 residents. Cost burden runs 35% here against 50.3% across Sarasota County.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 15% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,632
Renter share23.2%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$102,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lake Sarasota
Very High
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#3,550 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.2887, -82.4392 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Sarasota scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,882 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
4.4

How Lake Sarasota compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Sarasota risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0014023.7Lake Sarasotaparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 68Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak (2002)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115001402
Filings dropped 65% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Sarasota

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Court records carry 68 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2002 at 6.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001402?

Census tract 12115001402 in Lake Sarasota scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001402?

Median gross rent is $1,882/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001402?

7.4% of residents in tract 12115001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,523.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 19th, minority 15th, housing 5th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.69% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115001402 compare to Lake Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115001402 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Sarasota at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Lake Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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