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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Venice East Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002720 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,110 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

12115002720 is a census tract in the Venice East area of Sarasota County, FL. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,110 residents. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,551
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$85,858

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Venice East
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In city
Very Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#3,550 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.0646, -82.3748 · click any tract to drill in

Why Venice East scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,404 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Venice East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Venice East risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0027203.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2015)
  • 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115002720
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Venice East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Venice East

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $85,858, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, local political climate reads 1.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 filings here across 4 tracked years. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2015, when 5.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002720

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002720?

Census tract 12115002720 in the Venice East neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002720?

Median gross rent is $2,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002720?

4.2% of residents in tract 12115002720 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,110.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002720?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 73th, minority 7th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 12115002720 considered part of Venice East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115002720 fall within Venice East (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002720?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12115002720 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.29% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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