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Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Laurel Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002201 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,865

With a score of 3.4/10, tract 12115002201 in Laurel, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,865 residents. At $2,632 a month, rents run 99% over what the rest of Laurel commands.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 5% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,650
Renter share8.5%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$67,176

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Laurel
Elevated
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Low
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#3,121 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Laurel and the region

Centroid at 27.1618, -82.4616 · click any tract to drill in

Why Laurel scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Laurel
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,632 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laurel
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laurel
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laurel
4.3

How Laurel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Laurel risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0022013.2Laurelparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2015)
  • 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115002201
Filings climbed 300% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Laurel

The voucher gap is 42.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $67,176, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.3/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. Court records carry 24 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.0% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002201?

Census tract 12115002201 in Laurel scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002201?

Median gross rent is $2,632/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002201?

6.1% of residents in tract 12115002201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,865.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 15th, minority 22th, housing 21th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.66% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115002201 compare to Laurel overall?

Tract 12115002201 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Laurel at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laurel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Laurel

Top eight tracts in Laurel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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