Laurel Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $982, 26% below the Laurel average. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.8 points below the Sarasota County average of 3.8.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 11% of average household income of $109,034, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.