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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Sarasota Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Siesta Key

Tract 12115001905 · Sarasota, FL · pop 1,208 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

12115001905 is a census tract in the Sarasota Beach area of Siesta Key, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,208 residents. The severe-burden share is 74%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 0% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units731
Renter share3.1%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$103,173

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Sarasota Beach
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Siesta Key
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Siesta Key and the region

Centroid at 27.2604, -82.5427 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sarasota Beach scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Siesta Key
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Siesta Key
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Siesta Key
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Siesta Key
4.1

How Sarasota Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sarasota Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0019053.5Siesta Keyparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2003)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115001905
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sarasota Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sarasota Beach

100% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

Court records carry 4 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 1.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001905

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001905?

Census tract 12115001905 in the Sarasota Beach neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001905?

4.0% of residents in tract 12115001905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,208.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001905?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 4th, minority 2th, housing 28th.
Q4

Is tract 12115001905 considered part of Sarasota Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115001905 fall within Sarasota Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001905?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12115001905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.20% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115001905 compare to Siesta Key overall?

Tract 12115001905 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Siesta Key at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Siesta Key; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Siesta Key

Top eight tracts in Siesta Key ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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