Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Sarasota Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Siesta Key
Tract 12115001904 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,525 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12115001904 in the Sarasota Beach area of Siesta Key, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,525. Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,426
Renter share10.0%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$127,556
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Siesta Key and the region
Centroid at 27.2782, -82.5538 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sarasota Beach scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Siesta Key
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,856 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Siesta Key
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Siesta Key
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Siesta Key
4.1
How Sarasota Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 27Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2002)
- 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 82% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sarasota Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sarasota Beach
Average gross rent is $1,856, 47% below the Siesta Key average. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10. Court records carry 27 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2002, when 3.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $127,556, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001904?
Census tract 12115001904 in the Sarasota Beach neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001904?
Median gross rent is $1,856/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001904?
10.5% of residents in tract 12115001904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,525.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 32th, minority 23th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 12115001904 considered part of Sarasota Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115001904 fall within Sarasota Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001904?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.86% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12115001904 compare to Siesta Key overall?
Tract 12115001904 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Siesta Key at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Siesta Key; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Siesta Key
Top eight tracts in Siesta Key ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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