Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
South Poinsettia Eviction Risk: Lower , Southgate
Tract 12115000602 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,388 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12115000602, home to 3,388 residents in the South Poinsettia area of Southgate, scores 4.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,633 monthly, set against $86,920 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,691
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$86,920
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Southgate and the region
Centroid at 27.3069, -82.5239 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Poinsettia scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Southgate
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,633 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Southgate
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Southgate
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Southgate
5.8
How South Poinsettia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 83Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2018)
- 20Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Poinsettia
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Southgate, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 83 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.9% of renter households in 2018.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115000602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000602?
Census tract 12115000602 in the South Poinsettia neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115000602?
Median gross rent is $1,633/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000602?
7.2% of residents in tract 12115000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,388.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 39th, minority 29th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 12115000602 considered part of South Poinsettia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115000602 fall within South Poinsettia (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.52% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12115000602 compare to Southgate overall?
Tract 12115000602 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Southgate at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Southgate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Southgate
Top eight tracts in Southgate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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