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Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Southgate Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115001602 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,933 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Southgate

12115001602 is a census tract in Southgate, FL. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,933. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 15% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,042
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$71,322

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Southgate
Very High
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#58 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,707 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#54,273 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Southgate and the region

Centroid at 27.3020, -82.5004 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southgate scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Southgate
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Southgate
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Southgate
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Southgate
5.8

How Southgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0016023.8Southgateparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 104Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2002)
  • 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115001602
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southgate

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.

Court records carry 104 eviction filings across 5 observed years. At $1,456 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Southgate commands. The worst year on record was 2002, when 4.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $71,322.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001602?

Census tract 12115001602 in Southgate scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001602?

Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001602?

5.0% of residents in tract 12115001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,933.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 45th, minority 32th, housing 37th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 104 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.57% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115001602 compare to Southgate overall?

Tract 12115001602 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Southgate at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Southgate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Southgate

Top eight tracts in Southgate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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