Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Warm Mineral Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115002723 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,505 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Warm Mineral Springs
Census tract 12115002723 covers part of Warm Mineral Springs, FL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,505. Severe burden reaches 50%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,378
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$47,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warm Mineral Springs and the region
Centroid at 27.0304, -82.2660 · click any tract to drill in
Why Warm Mineral Springs scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warm Mineral Springs
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warm Mineral Springs
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warm Mineral Springs
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warm Mineral Springs
6.5
How Warm Mineral Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 33Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.4%Peak (2003)
- 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Warm Mineral Springs
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10.
Cost burden runs 56% here against 50.3% across Sarasota County. Court records carry 33 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2003, when 16.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002723
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002723?
Census tract 12115002723 in Warm Mineral Springs scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002723?
7.6% of residents in tract 12115002723 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,505.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002723?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 67th, minority 21th, housing 29th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002723?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12115002723 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.63% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
How does tract 12115002723 compare to Warm Mineral Springs overall?
Tract 12115002723 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Warm Mineral Springs at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warm Mineral Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warm Mineral Springs
Top eight tracts in Warm Mineral Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related