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Census Tract · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Warm Mineral Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002723 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,505 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Warm Mineral Springs

Warm Mineral Springs in Sarasota County is where census tract 12115002723 sits, home to 2,505 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. It lands near the 26th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $47,895 a year. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 4% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,378
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$47,895

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Warm Mineral Springs
Moderate
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,043 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#58,384 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Warm Mineral Springs and the region

Centroid at 27.0304, -82.2660 · click any tract to drill in

Why Warm Mineral Springs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warm Mineral Springs
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warm Mineral Springs
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warm Mineral Springs
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warm Mineral Springs
6.5

How Warm Mineral Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Warm Mineral Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 002723Warm Mineral Sprin: 2.42.4Warm Mineral Sprinparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 33Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.4%Peak (2003)
  • 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150027232002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (16.39/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (8.33/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (2.31/100 renter HHs)2018: 6 filings (3.47/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Warm Mineral Springs

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Warm Mineral Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 33 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 7.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.4% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002723

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002723?

Census tract 12115002723 in Warm Mineral Springs scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002723?

7.6% of residents in tract 12115002723 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,505.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002723?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 67th, minority 21th, housing 29th.
Q4

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002723?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12115002723 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.63% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5

How does tract 12115002723 compare to Warm Mineral Springs overall?

Tract 12115002723 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Warm Mineral Springs at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warm Mineral Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Warm Mineral Springs

Top eight tracts in Warm Mineral Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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