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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Venice Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115002401 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,025 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 12115002401 covers part of the Venice Beach area of Venice, FL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,025. Severe burden reaches 50%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 12% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,765
Renter share24.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$72,361

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Venice Beach
Moderate
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 12 tracts In Venice
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#2,265 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Venice and the region

Centroid at 27.0853, -82.4521 · click any tract to drill in

Why Venice Beach scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Venice
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,620 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Venice
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Venice
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Venice
6.6

How Venice Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Venice Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0024013.7Veniceparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2002)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115002401
Filings dropped 79% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Venice Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Venice Beach

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 3.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. 50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,620, close to the Venice average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002401?

Census tract 12115002401 in the Venice Beach neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002401?

Median gross rent is $1,620/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002401?

9.3% of residents in tract 12115002401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 35th, minority 8th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 12115002401 considered part of Venice Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115002401 fall within Venice Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.33% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12115002401 compare to Venice overall?

Tract 12115002401 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Venice at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Venice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Venice

Top eight tracts in Venice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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