Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Forest City Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12117021606 · Seminole, FL · pop 7,286 · 65% of tract blocks fall in Forest City
Census tract 12117021606 covers Forest City in Seminole County, home to 7,286 residents. For landlords it grades 4.4/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 21% of US census tracts.
About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,681 a month against an average household income of $72,717 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,456
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$72,717
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
National
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest City and the region
Centroid at 28.6741, -81.4412 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest City scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest City
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,681 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest City
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest City
1.3
How Forest City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest City
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 3.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forest City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Seminole County average of 5.2 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12117021606
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117021606?
Census tract 12117021606 in Forest City scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12117021606?
Median gross rent is $1,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12117021606?
13.6% of residents in tract 12117021606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,286.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12117021606?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 92th, minority 70th, housing 78th.
Q5
How does tract 12117021606 compare to Forest City overall?
Tract 12117021606 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Forest City at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forest City
Top eight tracts in Forest City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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