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Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

Forest City Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12117021704 · Seminole, FL · pop 4,908

Eviction risk in Forest City centers on tract 12117021704, which scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) and is home to 4,908 residents. That is riskier than about 9% of US census tracts.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,769 a month against an average household income of $87,560 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 13% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,765
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$87,560

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Forest City
Very Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#52 of 89 tracts In Seminole
Moderate
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#3,822 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#66,742 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest City and the region

Centroid at 28.6514, -81.4577 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest City scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forest City
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,769 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest City
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest City
1.3

How Forest City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.52.5This tracttract 021704Forest City: 2.42.4Forest Cityparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest City

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forest City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Seminole County average of 5.2 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117021704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117021704?

Census tract 12117021704 in Forest City scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12117021704?

Median gross rent is $1,769/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117021704?

5.3% of residents in tract 12117021704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,908.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117021704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 83th, minority 61th, housing 21th.
Q5

How does tract 12117021704 compare to Forest City overall?

Tract 12117021704 scores 2.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Forest City at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Forest City

Top eight tracts in Forest City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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