Within county
84
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 12109021103 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12109021103 · St. Johns, FL · pop 2,427
12109021103 is a census tract in St. Johns County, FL. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,427 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,113
Renter share37.1%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$73,297
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Johns and the region
Centroid at 29.8569, -81.3685 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 12109021103 scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,715 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 12109021103 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 5 yrs
- 31.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.6%Peak (2010)
- 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 12109021103
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions over 5 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the St. Johns County average of 3.7.
Cost burden runs 49% here against 53.0% across St. Johns County. The worst year on record was 2010, when 13.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 31.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10.
Average gross rent runs $1,715 a month. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $73,297.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109021103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021103?
Census tract 12109021103 in St. Johns scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109021103?
Median gross rent is $1,715/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021103?
9.7% of residents in tract 12109021103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,427.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 43th, minority 38th, housing 67th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109021103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109021103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.00% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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