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Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Orange City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12127090806 · Volusia, FL · pop 5,209 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Orange City

Orange City in Volusia County is where census tract 12127090806 sits, home to 5,209 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #59,457 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,466 a month while the average household earns $40,631 a year, roughly 43% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 16% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,450
Renter share62.6%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$40,631

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Orange City
Very High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 129 tracts In Volusia
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#836 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange City and the region

Centroid at 28.9251, -81.2861 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange City scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orange City
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,466 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orange City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orange City
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orange City
1.8

How Orange City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 090806Orange City: 2.32.3Orange Cityparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 92Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 2.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2016)
  • 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2016 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121270908062016: 41 filings (3.01/100 renter HHs)2017: 30 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2018: 21 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange City

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orange City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Volusia County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 92 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.0% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12127090806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12127090806?

Census tract 12127090806 in Orange City scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12127090806?

Median gross rent is $1,466/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12127090806?

22.6% of residents in tract 12127090806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,209.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12127090806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 98th, minority 69th, housing 91th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12127090806?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 92 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12127090806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.25% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12127090806 compare to Orange City overall?

Tract 12127090806 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Orange City at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orange City

Top eight tracts in Orange City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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