Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Aultman Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate , Macon-Bibb County
Tract 13021013503 ·
Bibb County, GA · pop 2,239 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
In the Aultman Pines neighborhood of Macon-Bibb County, census tract 13021013503 scores 6.7/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 91st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $997 monthly, set against $82,946 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 22%Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units857
Renter share40.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$82,946
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Aultman Pines
Moderate
Within parent city
36th percentile
#31 of 48 tracts In Macon-Bibb County
Low
Within county
36th percentile
#31 of 48 tracts In Bibb County
Low
Within state
74th percentile
#729 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region
Centroid at 32.7534, -83.6987 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aultman Pines scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$997 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.4
How Aultman Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
72%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
488Total filings over 8 yrs
24.90%Avg annual filing rate
45.6%Peak (2011)
183Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2011
Filings climbed 6,000% over the past 8 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.7%Housing insecurity
9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
17.4%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
9.5%Transit barriers
13.6%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aultman Pines
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bibb County average of 6.8 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 488 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 24.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 45.6% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 13021013503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021013503?
Census tract 13021013503 in the Aultman Pines neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13021013503?
Median gross rent is $997/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13021013503?
20.7% of residents in tract 13021013503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,239.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13021013503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 91th, minority 76th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 13021013503 considered part of Aultman Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021013503 fall within Aultman Pines (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13021013503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 488 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 13021013503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.90% of renter households, peaking at 45.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13021013503 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13021013503 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?
Tract 13021013503 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County
Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.