Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Macon-Bibb County
Tract 13021012101 · Bibb County, GA · pop 2,916 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 13021012101 sits in the Forest Lake area of Macon-Bibb County eviction risk, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Population here is 2,916. Against Bibb County at 51.4%, 24% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units828
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$97,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region
Centroid at 32.8677, -83.7111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Lake scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.4
How Forest Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 426Total filings over 8 yrs
- 14.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.3%Peak (2005)
- 54Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 8 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.4 points below the Bibb County average of 4.9.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 426 filings here across 8 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 14.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $97,500, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 13021012101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021012101?
Census tract 13021012101 in the Forest Lake neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13021012101?
Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13021012101?
18.2% of residents in tract 13021012101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,916.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13021012101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 90th, minority 63th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 13021012101 considered part of Forest Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021012101 fall within Forest Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13021012101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 426 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 13021012101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.35% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13021012101 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13021012101 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?
Tract 13021012101 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13021012101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County
Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Hillcrest Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Bon Ayer
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Riverside Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Azalea Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Arlington Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Anthony Terrace
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Jefferson Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Anthony Terrace
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related