Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Macon-Bibb County
Tract 13021012101 · Bibb County, GA · pop 2,916 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 13021012101 sits in the Forest Lake neighborhood of Macon-Bibb County eviction risk, Georgia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. On the national scale it ranks #20,705 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 24% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,059 monthly, set against $97,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units828
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$97,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
21
th percentile
Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region
Centroid at 32.8677, -83.7111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Lake scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.4
How Forest Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 426Total filings over 8 yrs
- 14.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.3%Peak (2005)
- 54Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 8 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Lake
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Bibb County average of 6.8 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 426 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 14.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.3% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 13021012101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021012101?
Census tract 13021012101 in the Forest Lake neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13021012101?
Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13021012101?
18.2% of residents in tract 13021012101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,916.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13021012101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 90th, minority 63th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 13021012101 considered part of Forest Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021012101 fall within Forest Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13021012101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 426 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 13021012101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.35% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13021012101 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13021012101 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?
Tract 13021012101 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13021012101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County
Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Anthony Terrace
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Bedingfield
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Hillcrest Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Azalea Park
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Arlington Park
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Renaissance on the River
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Christian Rest
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Bon Ayer
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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