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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Union Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Savannah

Tract 13051002300 · Chatham County, GA · pop 1,821 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 13051002300 covers part of the Union Junction area of Savannah, GA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,821 residents. Cost burden runs 69% here against 46.6% across Chatham County.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 20% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units758
Renter share62.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$33,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Union Junction
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 53 tracts In Savannah
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 87 tracts In Chatham County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#398 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Savannah and the region

Centroid at 32.0577, -81.1112 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union Junction scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Savannah
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,080 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Savannah
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Savannah
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Savannah
3.5

How Union Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Union Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0023004.0Savannahparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 119Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 23.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.4%Peak (2011)
  • 119Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union Junction

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $33,938, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,080, 22% below the Savannah average.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Chatham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 119 evictions over 1 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 23.4% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13051002300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13051002300?

Census tract 13051002300 in the Union Junction neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13051002300?

Median gross rent is $1,080/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13051002300?

21.5% of residents in tract 13051002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,821.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13051002300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 79th, minority 91th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 13051002300 considered part of Union Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13051002300 fall within Union Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13051002300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13051002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.38% of renter households, peaking at 23.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 13051002300 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 13051002300 compare to Savannah overall?

Tract 13051002300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Savannah at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Savannah eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 13051002300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Savannah

Top eight tracts in Savannah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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