Brook Hollow Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucker

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. 95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.5/10.

The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the DeKalb County average of 52.2%. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $46,938, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.2 points above the DeKalb County average of 4.5. At $1,372 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Tucker commands.

The filing record is not thin: 4,177 evictions over 8 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2007, when 224.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 93.0% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.