Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Forrest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Atlanta
Tract 13121006602 · Fulton County, GA · pop 829 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 13121006602 covers part of the Forrest Park area of Atlanta, GA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $890, 48% below the Atlanta average.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units375
Renter share58.1%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$29,784
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atlanta and the region
Centroid at 33.7186, -84.4287 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forrest Park scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atlanta
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$890 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlanta
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlanta
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlanta
4.0
How Forrest Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 64%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 455Total filings over 5 yrs
- 24.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.8%Peak (2001)
- 63Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 420Total filings 2020-21
- 5.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 38.5%Housing insecurity
- 30.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.9%Food insecurity
- 51.7%SNAP enrollment
- 25.8%Transit barriers
- 22.0%No health insurance
- 23.3%Frequent mental distress
- 44.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forrest Park
Food insecurity runs 48.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 51.7% against 15.2% nationally. Against Fulton County at 46.8%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $29,784 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.9/10. Against the Fulton County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
Court records carry 455 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 30.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 24.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 13121006602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121006602?
Census tract 13121006602 in the Forrest Park neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13121006602?
Median gross rent is $890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13121006602?
35.5% of residents in tract 13121006602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 829.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13121006602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 56th, minority 97th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 13121006602 considered part of Forrest Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121006602 fall within Forrest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121006602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 455 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121006602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.82% of renter households, peaking at 30.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13121006602 struggle to pay rent?
About 38.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13121006602 compare to Atlanta overall?
Tract 13121006602 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Atlanta at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlanta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13121006602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atlanta
Top eight tracts in Atlanta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Sylvan Hills
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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Vine City
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13121007810
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Cabbagetown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
West End
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Pittsburgh
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Vine City
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Mechanicsville
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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