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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Mechanicsville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Atlanta

Tract 13121004400 · Fulton County, GA · pop 3,628 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 13121004400 in the Mechanicsville area of Atlanta, GA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,628. At $871 a month, rents run 49% under what the rest of Atlanta commands.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 48% Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,513
Renter share93.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate36.6%
Median income$31,075

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Mechanicsville
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 180 tracts In Atlanta
Very High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 327 tracts In Fulton County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#210 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Atlanta and the region

Centroid at 33.7408, -84.4018 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mechanicsville scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Atlanta
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
36.6% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$871 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlanta
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlanta
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlanta
4.0

How Mechanicsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mechanicsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0044004.3Atlantaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 999Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 22.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.2%Peak (2014)
  • 189Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 13121004400
Filings climbed 28% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,265Total filings 2020-21
  • 16.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mechanicsville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mechanicsville

SNAP participation runs 54.1% against 15.2% nationally. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, economic stress reads 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $31,075 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

It sits 1.5 points above the Fulton County average of 4.2. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 999 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 35.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Atlanta. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 22.5% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 13121004400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121004400?

Census tract 13121004400 in the Mechanicsville neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13121004400?

Median gross rent is $871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13121004400?

36.6% of residents in tract 13121004400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,628.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13121004400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 82th, minority 97th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 13121004400 considered part of Mechanicsville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121004400 fall within Mechanicsville (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121004400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 999 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121004400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.53% of renter households, peaking at 35.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 13121004400 struggle to pay rent?

About 40.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 13121004400 compare to Atlanta overall?

Tract 13121004400 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Atlanta at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlanta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 13121004400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Atlanta

Top eight tracts in Atlanta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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