Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Mechanicsville Eviction Risk: Elevated , Atlanta
Tract 13121004400 · Fulton County, GA · pop 3,628 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 6.6/10, tract 13121004400 in Mechanicsville in Atlanta ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,628 residents. That is riskier than about 89% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $871 monthly, set against $31,075 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 94% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,513
Renter share93.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate36.6%
Median income$31,075
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atlanta and the region
Centroid at 33.7408, -84.4018 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mechanicsville scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atlanta
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
36.6% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$871 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlanta
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlanta
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlanta
4.0
How Mechanicsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 65%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 999Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.2%Peak (2014)
- 189Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,265Total filings 2020-21
- 16.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mechanicsville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 40.3%Housing insecurity
- 31.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 51.5%Food insecurity
- 54.1%SNAP enrollment
- 28.2%Transit barriers
- 22.2%No health insurance
- 25.8%Frequent mental distress
- 44.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mechanicsville
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atlanta eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fulton County average of 5.7 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 40.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 31.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 65% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 13121004400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121004400?
Census tract 13121004400 in the Mechanicsville neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13121004400?
Median gross rent is $871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13121004400?
36.6% of residents in tract 13121004400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,628.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13121004400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 82th, minority 97th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 13121004400 considered part of Mechanicsville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121004400 fall within Mechanicsville (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121004400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 999 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121004400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.53% of renter households, peaking at 35.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13121004400 struggle to pay rent?
About 40.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13121004400 compare to Atlanta overall?
Tract 13121004400 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Atlanta at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlanta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13121004400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 65% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atlanta
Top eight tracts in Atlanta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Emory Highlands
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Stratford
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Mechanicsville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Tyler Perry Studios Soundstages
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Sylvan Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Adams Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Battle Hill Haven
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Stratford
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related