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Neighborhood · Atlanta, GA

Mechanicsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,311 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Mechanicsville spans 2 census tracts of Atlanta, GA, population 7,311. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 46%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Set annual rent against average household income of $15,421 and the ratio lands at 61%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs roughly two in three against 30.9% citywide, putting Mechanicsville 33.3% over its own city.

Average gross rent is $782, 54% below the Atlanta average of $1,711. The poverty rate is 48%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity affects 50.7% of adults, 32.9 points above the national rate.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.6/10. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 21.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Court records carry 2,424 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 39.7% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 16.4% in 2016, is well off that peak.

With little internal variation, 5.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Mechanicsville vs Atlanta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.2% +108%
Atlanta: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$782 -54%
Atlanta: $1,711
Average HH income
$15,421 -81%
Atlanta: $81,938
Poverty rate
47.8% +167%
Atlanta: 17.9%
Renter share
86.7% +62%
Atlanta: 53.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mechanicsville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Mechanicsville scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
87% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
47.8% below poverty line · Range 9.2–10.0 across tracts
9.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Mechanicsville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mechanicsville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7MechanicsvilleNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Mechanicsville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13121012000 5.7 3,683 79% $694
13121004400 5.7 3,628 49% $871
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 83%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mechanicsville

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,424Total filings (sum)
  • 26.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 39.7%Peak year (2014)
  • 16.38%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,578Total filings 2020-21
  • 17.0Avg monthly observed
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Atlanta, GA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mechanicsville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mechanicsville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mechanicsville?

Mechanicsville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mechanicsville compare to Atlanta overall?

Mechanicsville scores 1.4 points higher than Atlanta overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $782 vs $1,711.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mechanicsville?

Average gross rent in Mechanicsville is $782/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mechanicsville residents are renters?

87% of Mechanicsville households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Atlanta). The neighborhood has 7,311 residents.
Q5

Is Mechanicsville a high social-vulnerability area?

Mechanicsville sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mechanicsville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mechanicsville is census tract 13121012000 (score 5.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.7, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Mechanicsville for landlords?

Mechanicsville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Atlanta as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mechanicsville?

Mechanicsville has 7,223 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (82.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (8%), Hispanic / Latino (5.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mechanicsville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Atlanta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mechanicsville.

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