Orchard Knob Eviction Risk: Moderate

Food insecurity affects 41.5% of adults, 23.7 points above the national rate. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. 23.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 28% of renter households. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

That places it #1 of 77 neighborhoods in Atlanta. The closest comparables inside the same city are Sylvan Hills and Fairburn Heights. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.