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Neighborhood · Atlanta, GA

South Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,904 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

South Downtown is a one-tract neighborhood of Atlanta, GA, population 2,904. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 63% against 30.9% citywide, putting South Downtown 31.7% over its own city.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 43%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

This is a renter market: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

18.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records for this tract carry 760 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 26.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 45.5% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 20.9% in 2016, is well off that peak.

One tract means one number: 5.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Downtown vs Atlanta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.6% +103%
Atlanta: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,802 +5%
Atlanta: $1,711
Average HH income
$53,420 -35%
Atlanta: $81,938
Poverty rate
43.3% +142%
Atlanta: 17.9%
Renter share
83.0% +55%
Atlanta: 53.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why South Downtown scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
83% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
43.3% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

South Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7South DowntownNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13121003500 5.7 2,904 63% $1,802
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Downtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 760Total filings (sum)
  • 35.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.5%Peak year (2003)
  • 20.94%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,162Total filings 2020-21
  • 28.5Avg monthly observed
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Atlanta, GA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Downtown?

South Downtown scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Downtown compare to Atlanta overall?

South Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Atlanta overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,802 vs $1,711.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Downtown?

Average gross rent in South Downtown is $1,802/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Downtown residents are renters?

83% of South Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Atlanta). The neighborhood has 2,904 residents.
Q5

Is South Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

South Downtown sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Downtown for landlords?

South Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Atlanta as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Downtown?

South Downtown has 3,285 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (70%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.4%), Hispanic / Latino (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Atlanta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Downtown.

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