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Neighborhood · Atlanta, GA

Vine City Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 6,998 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Vine City spans 3 census tracts of Atlanta, GA, population 6,998. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 30.9% citywide, putting Vine City 30.4% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 38%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,014, 41% below the Atlanta average of $1,711. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.6/10.

Food insecurity affects 43.1% of adults, 25.3 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 40%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 33.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 2,916 across 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 49.4% of renter households.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Vine City vs Atlanta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.3% +98%
Atlanta: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,014 -41%
Atlanta: $1,711
Average HH income
$37,683 -54%
Atlanta: $81,938
Poverty rate
39.6% +122%
Atlanta: 17.9%
Renter share
68.6% +28%
Atlanta: 53.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Vine City and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Vine City scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
39.6% below poverty line · Range 7.5–10.0 across tracts
9.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.1 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Vine City vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Vine City score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7Vine CityNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Vine City?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 5.7 to 5.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Vine City

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13121002500 5.7 3,123 47% $932
13121002400 5.7 2,804 73% $1,108
13121002600 5.7 1,071 72% $1,007
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Vine City

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,916Total filings (sum)
  • 34.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 49.4%Peak year (2015)
  • 25.43%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,229Total filings 2020-21
  • 10.9Avg monthly observed
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Atlanta, GA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Vine City

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Vine City

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Vine City?

Vine City scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Vine City compare to Atlanta overall?

Vine City scores 1.4 points higher than Atlanta overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,014 vs $1,711.
Q3

What is the average rent in Vine City?

Average gross rent in Vine City is $1,014/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Vine City residents are renters?

69% of Vine City households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Atlanta). The neighborhood has 6,998 residents.
Q5

Is Vine City a high social-vulnerability area?

Vine City sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Vine City have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Vine City is census tract 13121002500 (score 5.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.7, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Vine City for landlords?

Vine City carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Atlanta as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Vine City?

Vine City has 7,065 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (87.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.8%), Hispanic / Latino (3.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Vine City

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Atlanta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Vine City.

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