Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Vine City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Atlanta
Tract 13121002400 · Fulton County, GA · pop 2,804 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 13121002400 covers part of the Vine City area of Atlanta, GA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,804 residents. The severe-burden share is 59%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,054
Renter share53.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate41.2%
Median income$40,612
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atlanta and the region
Centroid at 33.7587, -84.4248 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vine City scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atlanta
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
41.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,108 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlanta
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlanta
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlanta
4.0
How Vine City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 55%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 772Total filings over 5 yrs
- 29.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.8%Peak (2015)
- 148Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,171Total filings 2020-21
- 15.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vine City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.8%Housing insecurity
- 24.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 41.5%Food insecurity
- 42.6%SNAP enrollment
- 21.6%Transit barriers
- 18.4%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vine City
Against Fulton County at 46.8%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 42.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,108, 35% below the Atlanta average.
Housing insecurity runs 31.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $40,612, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Against the Fulton County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 772 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 37.8% of renter households.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 13121002400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121002400?
Census tract 13121002400 in the Vine City neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13121002400?
Median gross rent is $1,108/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13121002400?
41.2% of residents in tract 13121002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,804.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13121002400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 88th, minority 94th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 13121002400 considered part of Vine City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121002400 fall within Vine City (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121002400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 772 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121002400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.54% of renter households, peaking at 37.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13121002400 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13121002400 compare to Atlanta overall?
Tract 13121002400 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Atlanta at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlanta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13121002400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 55% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atlanta
Top eight tracts in Atlanta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Inman Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
South Downtown
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Dixie Hills
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Roseland
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Ben Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Battle Hill Haven
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Roseland
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Browns Mill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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