Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Joel Chandler Harris Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Atlanta
Tract 13121003900 · Fulton County, GA · pop 1,562 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
13121003900 is a census tract in the Joel Chandler Harris Homes area of Atlanta, GA. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units713
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate49.7%
Median income$36,094
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atlanta and the region
Centroid at 33.7501, -84.4221 · click any tract to drill in
Why Joel Chandler Harris Homes scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atlanta
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
49.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlanta
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlanta
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlanta
4.0
How Joel Chandler Harris Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 98%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 799Total filings over 5 yrs
- 33.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.6%Peak (2001)
- 148Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 646Total filings 2020-21
- 8.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.1%Housing insecurity
- 24.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.1%Food insecurity
- 41.0%SNAP enrollment
- 21.9%Transit barriers
- 16.9%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Joel Chandler Harris Homes
71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Fulton County average of 46.8%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 41.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 50%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $36,094 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against the Fulton County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Average gross rent is $1,321, 23% below the Atlanta average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 799 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 26.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 13121003900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121003900?
Census tract 13121003900 in the Joel Chandler Harris Homes neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13121003900?
Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13121003900?
49.7% of residents in tract 13121003900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,562.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13121003900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 8th, minority 95th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 13121003900 considered part of Joel Chandler Harris Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121003900 fall within Joel Chandler Harris Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13121003900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 799 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 13121003900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.09% of renter households, peaking at 26.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13121003900 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13121003900 compare to Atlanta overall?
Tract 13121003900 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Atlanta at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlanta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13121003900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 98% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atlanta
Top eight tracts in Atlanta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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5.7
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5.7
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5.7
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