Town and Country Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.3/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 1,211 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 28.6% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 26.6% of adults, 8.8 points above the national rate.

The most recent observed rate, 17.0% in 2010, is well off that peak. At $1,060 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Augusta commands.

Among the 30 mapped neighborhoods of Augusta, it ranks #19 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Shiloh Terrace and Oglethorpe Homes score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.