Skip to content
Kaneohe Base, Hawaii eviction risk overview
City brief · 10,919 residents

Kaneohe Base, HI Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Honolulu County · Population 10,919

In 2026
Risk score
5.6
ELEVATED

94th percentile, Hawaii.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average4.1 Now5.6
10 5 1976 · score 1.6 1977 · score 1.7 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 2.0 1981 · score 2.1 1982 · score 2.1 1983 · score 2.1 1984 · score 2.0 1985 · score 2.1 1986 · score 2.1 1987 · score 2.1 1988 · score 2.5 1989 · score 2.5 1990 · score 2.7 1991 · score 2.7 1992 · score 2.7 1993 · score 2.8 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 3.5 1997 · score 3.6 1998 · score 3.7 1999 · score 3.8 2000 · score 3.6 2001 · score 3.8 2002 · score 3.8 2003 · score 3.9 2004 · score 3.6 2005 · score 3.7 2006 · score 3.8 2007 · score 3.9 2008 · score 5.4 2009 · score 5.5 2010 · score 5.6 2011 · score 5.7 2012 · score 5.7 2013 · score 5.9 2014 · score 6.0 2015 · score 6.2 2016 · score 6.0 2017 · score 6.2 2018 · score 6.5 2019 · score 6.8 2020 · score 7.4 2021 · score 7.5 2022 · score 7.5 2023 · score 7.5 2024 · score 7.2 2025 · score 5.6 2026 · score 5.6

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.7 Regional 6.7 State 5.5 Economic 6.2 Supply 9.9 Rent Control 9.6 Eviction 4.7 Tenant 9.9 Housing 7.1 5.6 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +21.6% (2024)
    6.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.7
  3. State political climate
    Hawaii legislature & governorship
    5.5
  4. Economic stress
    8.7% poverty · 6.8% unemp.
    6.2
  5. Supply constraint
    $3,410 average · 98.4% renters
    9.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    51.0% of income on rent
    9.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    147 days filing → judgment
    4.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    98.4% renters
    9.9
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kaneohe Base and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Kaneohe Base compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Honolulu County
Very High
#5 of 54 cities
Rank in county — 93th percentileBottomTop
#5 of 54 cities in Honolulu County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Hawaii
Very High
#16 of 161 cities
Rank in state — 91th percentileBottomTop
#16 of 161 cities in Hawaii for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Kaneohe Base risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Kaneohe Base: 5.65.6Kaneohe BaseThis cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.6
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.6/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 147d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $3,410/mo. A contested eviction takes 147 days and costs $7,210–$18,410 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 98.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 10,919 residents, 98.4% rent. 51% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.7 and 6.7 (Dem margin +21.6% (2024)). State climate at 5.5 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 5.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 5.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.7, housing court bias 7.1, rent-control risk 9.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.2
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.2. Supply constraint: 9.9. The numbers behind those: 8.7% poverty, 6.8% unemployment, 51% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Kaneohe Base sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
00Overview

About eviction risk in Kaneohe Base, HI

Landlording in Kaneohe Base, Hawaii, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.6/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Kaneohe Base is a city of 10,919 residents where 98.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 51.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $3,410/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Kaneohe Base eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.7/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Kaneohe Base closes 147 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Kaneohe Base's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Kaneohe Base runs $7,210 to $18,410 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 147 days of typical timeline and $3,410/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.9/10 in Kaneohe Base, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Hawaii, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Kaneohe Base: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Hawaii's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $18,410 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Kaneohe Base

Trap · 26.9 POINTS
Politically, Honolulu County voted Democratic by 26.9 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with tenant-protective legislative pressure. Combined with 51.0% rent-to-income ratio, expect baseline enforcement of HRS 521.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the most common mistake landlords make during eviction in Kaneohe Base?

The biggest mistake is delaying. Waiting to serve notice, waiting to file, or accepting partial payments without a new agreement. Every day you wait after a missed payment costs you money and extends the already long 147-day eviction timeline. Act fast and follow the steps precisely.
Q2

Can I just change the locks if a tenant stops paying?

Absolutely not. Changing locks, shutting off utilities, or removing a tenant's belongings are illegal self-help evictions in Hawaii. You will face severe penalties, including potential lawsuits from the tenant. You must follow the judicial eviction process through the courts.
Q3

How can I avoid rent control issues in Kaneohe Base?

Hawaii currently has no statewide rent control, but the risk of it being enacted is very high (9.6/10 sub-score). Stay informed about local and state legislative changes. Ensure your lease terms are clear and compliant with existing law, and avoid excessive rent increases that could draw negative attention. You can learn more about Hawaii rent control rules here.
Q4

What if my tenant claims the property has issues after I serve an eviction notice?

This is a common defense tactic. If a tenant raises habitability issues after you've served an eviction notice, address any legitimate concerns promptly and document your response. However, do not let it derail your eviction process if the underlying issue is non-payment of rent. This is when you call your attorney to strategize your next move.
Q5

Is it worth trying to work with a tenant who is struggling financially?

Sometimes, yes, but with clear boundaries. If a tenant has a temporary setback and a history of good payments, a written payment plan might work. However, if it's a chronic issue or they're making excuses, you need to prioritize your business. "Cash for keys" is often the best "working with them" option when financial hardship is clear and ongoing.
Q6

What are the key tenant protections I need to know about in Hawaii?

Hawaii has strong tenant protections, particularly regarding notice periods, security deposit returns, and the prohibition of self-help evictions. While there's no statewide source-of-income protection, you must still adhere to fair housing laws. Always consult HRS § 521 and be aware of potential changes. Review our Hawaii tenant protections page for a comprehensive overview.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.6/10 places Kaneohe Base in the 94th percentile of Hawaii cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.