Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Lahaina Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 15009031405 · Maui County, HI · pop 6,442 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Lahaina
Census tract 15009031405 covers part of Lahaina, HI, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,442. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,434
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$95,203
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lahaina and the region
Centroid at 20.8777, -156.6412 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lahaina scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lahaina
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,873 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lahaina
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lahaina
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lahaina
7.0
How Lahaina compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2018)
- 10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.0%Food insecurity
- 15.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lahaina
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 1 years of observation. Against the Maui County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2018, when 1.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Average gross rent is $1,873, close to the Lahaina average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15009031405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15009031405?
Census tract 15009031405 in Lahaina scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15009031405?
Median gross rent is $1,873/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15009031405?
11.4% of residents in tract 15009031405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,442.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15009031405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 70th, minority 87th, housing 91th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 15009031405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 15009031405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.39% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 15009031405 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15009031405 compare to Lahaina overall?
Tract 15009031405 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lahaina at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lahaina eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lahaina
Top eight tracts in Lahaina ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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