Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Waine‘e Eviction Risk: High , Lahaina
Tract 15009031404 · Maui County, HI · pop 3,100 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 15009031404 sits in the Waine‘e area of Lahaina eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,100. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,080
Renter share60.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$74,595
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lahaina and the region
Centroid at 20.8724, -156.6786 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waine‘e scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lahaina
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,746 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lahaina
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lahaina
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lahaina
7.0
How Waine‘e compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2018)
- 10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.0%Food insecurity
- 20.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waine‘e
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. It sits 1.9 points above the Maui County average of 6.1.
Against Maui County at 48.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 10 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,746, 13% below the Lahaina average.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 1.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $74,595.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 15009031404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15009031404?
Census tract 15009031404 in the Waine‘e neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15009031404?
Median gross rent is $1,746/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15009031404?
20.5% of residents in tract 15009031404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,100.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15009031404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 65th, minority 71th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 15009031404 considered part of Waine‘e?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15009031404 fall within Waine‘e (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 15009031404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 15009031404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.08% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 15009031404 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 15009031404 compare to Lahaina overall?
Tract 15009031404 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Lahaina at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lahaina eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lahaina
Top eight tracts in Lahaina ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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