Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Heatherlea Eviction Risk: Moderate , Palatine
Tract 17031803604 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 4,375 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 17031803604 in the Heatherlea area of Palatine, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,375 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 13%Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,806
Renter share28.3%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$93,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Heatherlea
Very High
Within parent city
69th percentile
#5 of 14 tracts In Palatine
Elevated
Within county
44th percentile
#752 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
71th percentile
#950 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palatine and the region
Centroid at 42.1299, -88.0410 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heatherlea scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palatine
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,427 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palatine
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palatine
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palatine
5.9
How Heatherlea compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
51%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
221Total filings over 15 yrs
3.26%Avg annual filing rate
7.8%Peak (2009)
8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heatherlea. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.3%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
12.6%Food insecurity
10.4%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heatherlea
The score leans hardest on regional political climate at 7.5/10. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 221 filings here across 15 tracked years. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3.1/10.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 7.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031803604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031803604?
Census tract 17031803604 in the Heatherlea neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031803604?
Median gross rent is $1,427/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031803604?
14.7% of residents in tract 17031803604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,375.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031803604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 60th, minority 53th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 17031803604 considered part of Heatherlea?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031803604 fall within Heatherlea (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031803604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 221 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031803604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.26% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031803604 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031803604 compare to Palatine overall?
Tract 17031803604 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Palatine at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palatine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palatine
Top eight tracts in Palatine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.