Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Bellwood Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17031817102 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 2,920
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 17031817102 in Bellwood, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 19%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,036
Renter share29.4%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$85,357
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33th percentile
#3 of 4 tracts In Bellwood
Low
Within county
24th percentile
#1,018 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
52th percentile
#1,560 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
National
63th percentile
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellwood and the region
Centroid at 41.8772, -87.8658 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellwood scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellwood
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,279 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellwood
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellwood
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellwood
7.3
How Bellwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
81%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
12%Grade B
17%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
247Total filings over 15 yrs
8.07%Avg annual filing rate
12.9%Peak (2014)
19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
23.8%Housing insecurity
13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
27.9%Food insecurity
24.9%SNAP enrollment
12.7%Transit barriers
12.9%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellwood
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. Cost burden runs 34% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 27.9% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 23.8% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 1.0 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. Court records carry 247 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 12.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031817102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031817102?
Census tract 17031817102 in Bellwood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031817102?
Median gross rent is $1,279/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031817102?
9.3% of residents in tract 17031817102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,920.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031817102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 81th, minority 95th, housing 15th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031817102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 247 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031817102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.07% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 17031817102 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17031817102 compare to Bellwood overall?
Tract 17031817102 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Bellwood at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17031817102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellwood
Top eight tracts in Bellwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.