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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,036 of 84,120 nationally

Arcade Row Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031490901 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,084 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 17031490901 sits in Arcade Row in Chicago eviction risk, Illinois eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,021 monthly, set against $32,284 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 30% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,227
Renter share65.9%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate43.3%
Median income$32,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Arcade Row
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.6961, -87.6163 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arcade Row scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
43.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,021 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Arcade Row compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arcade Row risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 490901Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,144Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 10.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.1%Peak (2001)
  • 75Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314909012001: 141 filings (24.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 105 filings (17.93/100 renter HHs)2003: 112 filings (19.13/100 renter HHs)2004: 98 filings (16.74/100 renter HHs)2005: 66 filings (10.67/100 renter HHs)2006: 41 filings (6.63/100 renter HHs)2007: 58 filings (9.38/100 renter HHs)2008: 65 filings (10.51/100 renter HHs)2009: 50 filings (8.09/100 renter HHs)2010: 56 filings (5.53/100 renter HHs)2011: 55 filings (4.97/100 renter HHs)2012: 72 filings (6.50/100 renter HHs)2013: 73 filings (6.59/100 renter HHs)2014: 77 filings (6.96/100 renter HHs)2015: 75 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arcade Row. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arcade Row

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031490901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031490901?

Census tract 17031490901 in the Arcade Row neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031490901?

Median gross rent is $1,021/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031490901?

43.3% of residents in tract 17031490901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,084.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031490901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 46th, minority 100th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 17031490901 considered part of Arcade Row?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031490901 fall within Arcade Row (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031490901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,144 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031490901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.70% of renter households, peaking at 24.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031490901 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031490901 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031490901 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031490901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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