Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Altgeld Gardens Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031540101 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,460 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031540101 in the Altgeld Gardens area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,460. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 55%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,566
Renter share93.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate56.7%
Median income$16,176
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.6507, -87.5994 · click any tract to drill in
Why Altgeld Gardens scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
56.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$584 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Altgeld Gardens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 9%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,343Total filings over 15 yrs
- 14.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.5%Peak (2004)
- 114Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 50.6%Housing insecurity
- 41.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 64.7%Food insecurity
- 73.6%SNAP enrollment
- 34.3%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 27.2%Frequent mental distress
- 45.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Altgeld Gardens
At $584 a month, rents run 59% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 41.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Food insecurity runs 64.7% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 57%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $16,176 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Court records carry 2,343 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031540101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031540101?
Census tract 17031540101 in the Altgeld Gardens neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031540101?
Median gross rent is $584/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031540101?
56.7% of residents in tract 17031540101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,460.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031540101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 39th, minority 99th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 17031540101 considered part of Altgeld Gardens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031540101 fall within Altgeld Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031540101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,343 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031540101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.54% of renter households, peaking at 22.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031540101 struggle to pay rent?
About 50.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 41.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031540101 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031540101 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031540101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Arcade Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Schorsch
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related