Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Arcade Row Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031491400 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,541 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031491400 covers part of the Arcade Row area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. SNAP participation runs 41.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,075
Renter share80.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$38,491
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.6891, -87.6168 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arcade Row scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,134 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Arcade Row compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 58%Grade C
- 24%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,189Total filings over 15 yrs
- 9.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.3%Peak (2003)
- 62Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arcade Row. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.3%Housing insecurity
- 21.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.3%Food insecurity
- 41.6%SNAP enrollment
- 18.4%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arcade Row
Food insecurity runs 39.3% against 17.8% nationally. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.4/10.
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Set annual rent against average income of $38,491 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Average gross rent is $1,134, 21% below the Chicago average. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Court records carry 1,189 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031491400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031491400?
Census tract 17031491400 in the Arcade Row neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031491400?
Median gross rent is $1,134/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031491400?
22.6% of residents in tract 17031491400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,541.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031491400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 91th, minority 99th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 17031491400 considered part of Arcade Row?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031491400 fall within Arcade Row (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031491400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,189 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031491400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.45% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031491400 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031491400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031491400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031491400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Vet's Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Kelvyn Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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