Within neighborhood
71
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Canaryville Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031612000 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,317 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
17031612000 is a census tract in the Canaryville area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units502
Renter share75.1%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate27.3%
Median income$57,396
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7978, -87.6525 · click any tract to drill in
Why Canaryville scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
27.3% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Canaryville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 97%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 331Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2001)
- 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Canaryville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.6%Food insecurity
- 32.9%SNAP enrollment
- 16.2%Transit barriers
- 15.4%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Canaryville
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Average gross rent is $932, 35% below the Chicago average.
SNAP participation runs 32.9% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 331 filings here across 15 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 10.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031612000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031612000?
Census tract 17031612000 in the Canaryville neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031612000?
Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031612000?
27.3% of residents in tract 17031612000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,317.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031612000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 47th, minority 100th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 17031612000 considered part of Canaryville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031612000 fall within Canaryville (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031612000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 331 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031612000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.16% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031612000 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031612000 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031612000 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031612000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Arcade Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Schorsch
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related