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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Canaryville Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031611200 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,072 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 17031611200 sits in the Canaryville area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 2,072. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 25% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units741
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$41,480

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 18 tracts In Canaryville
Elevated
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#58 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8050, -87.6624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canaryville scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$993 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Canaryville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Canaryville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 611200Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 401Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.8%Peak (2004)
  • 21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170316112002001: 34 filings (6.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 27 filings (4.96/100 renter HHs)2003: 28 filings (5.15/100 renter HHs)2004: 37 filings (6.80/100 renter HHs)2005: 26 filings (5.16/100 renter HHs)2006: 22 filings (4.37/100 renter HHs)2007: 21 filings (4.17/100 renter HHs)2008: 23 filings (4.56/100 renter HHs)2009: 36 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2010: 18 filings (3.44/100 renter HHs)2011: 25 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2012: 29 filings (6.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 29 filings (6.29/100 renter HHs)2014: 25 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (4.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Canaryville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canaryville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9/10. SNAP participation runs 35.7% against 15.2% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against Cook County at 45.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

At $993 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The filing record is not thin: 401 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2004, when 6.8% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031611200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031611200?

Census tract 17031611200 in the Canaryville neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031611200?

Median gross rent is $993/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031611200?

35.9% of residents in tract 17031611200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,072.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031611200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 91th, minority 92th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 17031611200 considered part of Canaryville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031611200 fall within Canaryville (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031611200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 401 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031611200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031611200 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031611200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031611200 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031611200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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