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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Dauphin Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 7,953 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10 · range 6.9–8.1

Dauphin Park spans 4 census tracts of Chicago, IL and houses 7,953 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.9/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 29.3% citywide, putting Dauphin Park 16.5% over its own city.

22.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 30.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,001, 30% below the Chicago average of $1,440. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.9 to 8.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Filings are well documented here: 1,471 across 4 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 11.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 7.5% in 2015 against a 11.3% peak. That places it #43 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Dauphin Park vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.8% +56%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,001 -30%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$48,360 -36%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
33.6% +100%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
46.5% -14%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dauphin Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 6.9–8.1

Why Dauphin Park scores 7.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
33.6% below poverty line · Range 4.2–10.0 across tracts
7.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts
1.3
Risk score comparison

Dauphin Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dauphin Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Dauphin Park: 7.97.9Dauphin ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dauphin Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 6.9 to 8.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Dauphin Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031440900 8.1 2,377 37% $1,183
17031470100 8.1 2,246 34% $692
17031440800 8.1 1,877 65% $1,017
17031440700 6.9 1,453 54% $1,160
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 97%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Dauphin Park

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,471Total filings (sum)
  • 6.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.3%Peak year (2011)
  • 7.25%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dauphin Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dauphin Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dauphin Park?

Dauphin Park scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dauphin Park compare to Chicago overall?

Dauphin Park scores 1.2 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,001 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dauphin Park?

Average gross rent in Dauphin Park is $1,001/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dauphin Park residents are renters?

47% of Dauphin Park households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 7,953 residents.
Q5

Is Dauphin Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Dauphin Park sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Dauphin Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dauphin Park is census tract 17031440900 (score 8.1/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 8.1, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Dauphin Park for landlords?

Dauphin Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Dauphin Park?

Dauphin Park has 7,999 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (86.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (6.5%), Hispanic / Latino (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dauphin Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dauphin Park.

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