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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Grayland Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 8,916 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 5.3–7.6

Grayland spans 3 census tracts of Chicago, IL and houses 8,916 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, Elevated tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Chicago rate of 29.3%.

26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.3 to 7.6, a 2.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Filings are well documented here: 817 across 3 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,270, 12% below the Chicago average of $1,440. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 23.8% of renter households.

Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #106 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 1.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Grayland vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.5% +52%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,270 -12%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$88,068 +17%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
9.9% -41%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
32.2% -40%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grayland and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.3–7.6

Why Grayland scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.4–3.2 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.9 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Grayland vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grayland score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.6GraylandNeighborhood6.7Parent cityhost city5.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Grayland?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 5.3 to 7.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Grayland

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
17031831700 7.6 2,224 72% $920
17031150800 6.6 4,668 35% $1,309
17031161100 5.3 2,024 35% $1,563
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grayland

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 817Total filings (sum)
  • 4.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.8%Peak year (2015)
  • 5.36%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grayland

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Grayland

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grayland?

Grayland scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grayland compare to Chicago overall?

Grayland scores 0.1 points lower than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,270 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grayland?

Average gross rent in Grayland is $1,270/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grayland residents are renters?

32% of Grayland households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 8,916 residents.
Q5

Is Grayland a high social-vulnerability area?

Grayland sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Grayland have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Grayland is census tract 17031831700 (score 7.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 7.6, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Grayland for landlords?

Grayland carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Grayland?

Grayland has 8,474 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.5%), Hispanic / Latino (41.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grayland

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grayland.

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