7 census tracts · pop 26,451 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10
· range 6.2–8.1
Mayfair is a 7-tract neighborhood of Chicago, IL, population 26,451. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, in the Elevated tier. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Chicago rate of 29.3%.
22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.2 to 8.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,916 across 7 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.
The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 5.2% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,283, 11% below the Chicago average of $1,440.
The most recent observed rate, 2.4% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #97 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Kelvyn Grove and Ducktown. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Against average income of $79,027, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7
Elevated
7 tracts · population-weighted
Mayfair vs ChicagoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Mayfair
Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,916Total filings (sum)
2.19%Avg annual filing rate
5.2%Peak year (2014)
2.36%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mayfair
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.1%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility shutoff threat
23.4%Food insecurity
18.4%SNAP enrollment
16.3%No health insurance
27.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Mayfair
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Mayfair?
Mayfair scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Mayfair compare to Chicago overall?
Mayfair scores 0.3 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,283 vs $1,440.
Q3
What is the average rent in Mayfair?
Average gross rent in Mayfair is $1,283/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Mayfair residents are renters?
53% of Mayfair households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 26,451 residents.
Q5
Is Mayfair a high social-vulnerability area?
Mayfair sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Mayfair have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Mayfair is census tract 17031140602 (score 8.1/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 8.1, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Mayfair for landlords?
Mayfair carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Mayfair?
Mayfair has 25,632 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (41.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
