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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally

Kensington Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031530100 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,915 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

How risky is the Kensington area of Chicago for landlords? Census tract 17031530100 scores 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,097 a month while the average household earns $29,747 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 34% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units825
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$29,747

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Kensington
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#72 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.6819, -87.6179 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kensington scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Kensington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kensington risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.17.1This tracttract 530100Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 390Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.6%Peak (2003)
  • 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170315301002001: 33 filings (6.29/100 renter HHs)2002: 39 filings (7.43/100 renter HHs)2003: 40 filings (7.62/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 28 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)2007: 20 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2008: 26 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 22 filings (4.31/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (3.21/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (6.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (5.47/100 renter HHs)2013: 22 filings (5.01/100 renter HHs)2014: 27 filings (6.15/100 renter HHs)2015: 24 filings (5.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kensington

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 97% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 40.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 27.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031530100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031530100?

Census tract 17031530100 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031530100?

Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031530100?

31.2% of residents in tract 17031530100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,915.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031530100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 98th, minority 99th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 17031530100 considered part of Kensington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031530100 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031530100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 390 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031530100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031530100 struggle to pay rent?

About 40.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031530100 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031530100 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031530100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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