Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Kensington Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031530100 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,915 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 17031530100 covers part of the Kensington area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,915. Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $29,747, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units825
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$29,747
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.6819, -87.6179 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kensington scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Kensington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 97%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 390Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2003)
- 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 40.3%Housing insecurity
- 27.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 55.4%Food insecurity
- 56.7%SNAP enrollment
- 26.4%Transit barriers
- 29.6%No health insurance
- 20.7%Frequent mental distress
- 47.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kensington
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 29.6% against 11.3% nationally.
It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 47.1% against 31.5% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,097, 24% below the Chicago average. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 390 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2003 at 7.6% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031530100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031530100?
Census tract 17031530100 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031530100?
Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031530100?
31.2% of residents in tract 17031530100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,915.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031530100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 98th, minority 99th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 17031530100 considered part of Kensington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031530100 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031530100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 390 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031530100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031530100 struggle to pay rent?
About 40.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031530100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031530100 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031530100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Arcade Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stewart Ridge
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Schorsch
8.1
/ 10 · High
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