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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Noble Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 9,594 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.3–6.1

Noble Square is a 3-tract neighborhood of Chicago, IL and houses 9,594 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $1,863, 29% above the Chicago average of $1,440.

This is a renter market: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 29% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2/10. Disability prevalence reaches 17.6% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Filings are well documented here: 663 across 3 observed tracts.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 11%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 2.5% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.2% in 2015, is well off that peak. Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #158 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Southport Corridor and Ukrainian Village.

Against average income of $133,328, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion.

With little internal variation, 5.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Noble Square vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.7% -2%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,863 +29%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$133,328 +77%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
7.9% -53%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
67.4% +25%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Noble Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.3–6.1

Why Noble Square scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
7.9% below poverty line · Range 1.1–3.4 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–6.9 across tracts
5.6
Risk score comparison

Noble Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Noble Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Noble Square: 5.55.5Noble SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Noble Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.8 points from 5.3 to 6.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Noble Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031243400 6.1 2,931 44% $1,889
17031242000 5.3 4,378 14% $1,721
17031243300 5.3 2,285 37% $2,103
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 7%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Noble Square

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 663Total filings (sum)
  • 1.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak year (2010)
  • 1.19%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Noble Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Noble Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Noble Square?

Noble Square scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Noble Square compare to Chicago overall?

Noble Square scores 1.2 points lower than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,863 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Noble Square?

Average gross rent in Noble Square is $1,863/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Noble Square residents are renters?

67% of Noble Square households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 9,594 residents.
Q5

Is Noble Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Noble Square sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Noble Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Noble Square is census tract 17031243400 (score 6.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.1, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Noble Square for landlords?

Noble Square carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Noble Square?

Noble Square has 9,757 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Noble Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Noble Square.

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